Tuesday 29 January 2008

What is the Long Tail of Tourism and what does it mean to Canadian destinations and busineses, particularly small businesses. The Long Post.

Lately, there's been a lot of blogging and talking about the Long Tail and Long Tail economics and what this means for tourism. I was a bit mystified by the concept when I first heard about it during the Canada-e-Connect conference last November (And I'm sure I will hear more about it at the PhocusWright Bloggers Summit in Berlin next march). I wondered, if this was just another business buzz word? Does it relate to a person's travelling history and relationship to a particular trip? Does it refer to the "long tail" of a traveling continuum that begins with the dream (of going somewhere) followed by the research, the planning, the actual trip and the sharing of memories (good or bad) and recommendations (or criticisms)? I decided to go to the source of the phrase and see what it may mean to the tourism business, particularly small businesses like B&B's, restaurants and attractions.

The term Long Tail appears to have been coined by Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired Magazine, in his essay called The Long Tail (now a book: The Long Tail: How Endless Choice is Creating Unlimited Demand). Mr. Anderson focused his article on the world of entertainment and its products, be it DVD's, CD's, films or TV programs. The term refers to markets that until now where difficult to reach because of the limitations of the physical world (e.g. record stores, book stores, video rental outfits, etc.), a world that has traditionally been driven by hits. Basically, the assertion is that before the Internet as a channel of distribution, entertainment products where limited by distribution challenges and costs, therefore only products with mass appeal had a chance and consumers would gravitate naturally to the hit record, the hit TV show or the hit film. With the advent of the Internet this has changed. He starts his essay with the example of a book that was almost out of print, but that could still be found on Amazon. This book was recommended on the site to people who were buying another book with a similar topic and the result was the the almost out-of-print-book started selling very well. The book had been a miss when it first came out and now it was becoming a hit because of a recommendation of Amazon and the endorsement of buyers who purchased the old book. ("the emerging digital entertainment economy is going to be radically different from today's mass market. If the 20th- century entertainment industry was about hits, the 21st will be equally about misses.")

But how is this Long Tail concept applied to tourism? One way of looking at it is from the long tail of the travel experience which does indeed have a long tail. This long tail can manifest itself in personal conversations with friends reminiscing about good and bad travel experiences. It manifests itself online in traveler reviews, recommendations and rants (as in Tripadvisor), shared travel stories (as in consumer destination blogs like The Bay of Fundy blog) and audiovisual pieces (as in YouTube videos or Play Montréal podcasts). The travel experience can come up in conversation (online or offline) years after it took place. The stronger the experience the longer it will stay in the mind of the traveler. This aspect of the long tail, if we wish to call it that, is the one that seems easiest for businesses and DMO's to address, i.e. encouraging the conversation and/or even being part of it (as HelloBC.com does in its blogs area). These memories could be the equivalent of old out-of-print books that Chris mentions in his essay, albeit, in this case people don't buy memories, but are rather influenced by them.

Another way of looking at the Long Tail from a travel and tourism perspective is in the area of niche markets, whether we are talking about an activity (snowboarding, fly fishing, ice-climbing, shopping for Inuit art, etc.) or a place (e.g. cottage country, a vegan restaurant, a dim sum establishment, etc.). I equate this with the out-of-print book or obscure band's CD that is discovered or rediscovered by a niche audience who can now have access to it because of the Web. Niche tourism products or services (or markets or population segments) can drive business to larger destinations. Chris' Long Tail essay dealt mostly with the long tail as it applies to physical products that can be purchased online (or rather digital products in the case of eBooks or music downloads). Chris rightly points out that even though there is certainly a place for mass markets driven by hits (hit records, blockbuster movies and bestsellers), there are also big markets in the misses - or niches (provided the cost of distribution/acquisition is accessible). The opportunity I see here is in tourism marketing: opportunity for large DMO's to take advantage of niche and unique experiences that will drive travelers (and creat buzz, of course) to their destination and opportunity for small tourism businesses to access online communities that are attracted to their kind of offer.
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The challenges of distribution. Travel products and services are obviously not like MP3 music downloads, ebooks or even books on print and CD's that can easily be shipped. Destinations are not out-of-print books that can be reprinted in limited numbers. The Long Tail of travel thus, has its own characteristics (experiences being perhaps easier to grasp). Airlines for example cannot establish niche routes just because there is a niche market of tavelers interested in flying to a small town, unless the "niche" is large enough so that the airline can make money. I have seen this upclose over the last few years observing how the Mexican state of Campeche has had a lot of difficulty convincing an airline to increase and improve its service from Mexico City to Campeche City (let alone direct flights from Toronto).
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Small tourism businesses that want to attract visitors may benefit from the long tail as long as they can be found online (SEO, SEM), can make it easy for their potential guests to understand what they offer (good navigation, relevant info, images) and make it easy to book or purchase the service (using low cost booking services like Rezgo, for example). I have learned over the past few years that many small tourism businesses (and some not so small) are still behind in understanding how to use Internet technologies to improve their visibility and sales in the marketplace, let alone getting involved in the new Tourism 2.0 space, e.g. blogging and social media. At the present time it's the large entities that dominate whatever the current travel long tail is. It's companies like Orbitz, Travelocity, Expedia, Tripadvisor, Virtual Tourist and even Google (Google Maps) that take advantage of this "long tail," phenomenon (be it experiences, recommendations, reviews, and product as in Tripadvisor or selling niche products to extend the travel transaction like Expedia does by selling activities after you select your hotel). Recently I was contacted by a small resort in Alberta interested in the inbound Hispanic markets, but they are not sure whether it's a good market for them and how to address it. This is an example of a business that could benefit from the long tail addressing a niche of travelers online. But how to do it at a low cost, i.e. without spending thousands of dollars in sales trips to other countries or investing in potential partnerships with larger entitities like receptive operators and wholesalers?
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Vicky Brock of the Tourism Research Blog posed the following question on an interesting post called Long tail or critical mass? Is niche enough for tourism in online social networks? :
“Is a potential visitor, and the tourism businesses trying to engage with that potential visitor, likely to be served better by a long tail of niche travel communities and social networks, or by two or three “full service” players whose very scale means they have achieved the critical mass to serve niche interests?”
I think it may be the case that some businesses might be better served by the large "full service" players and some by the niche travel communities. But given the nature of the Web, I think that tourism businesses should explore and make use of all available tools, i.e. if they can make a profitable deal with a large player to be included in the mix, they should go ahead and do that, but they should also explore social networks where they can have exposure to potential customers predisposed to purchase their product. As Vicky Brock points out: "And what of individual small business? Fiscal and time constraints mean that participation in existing communities is likely to be more practical for most businesses than opting for social network development. But where does a business choose to invest its time in its two-way conversations with potential customers?"
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In the case of the Alberta resort, for example, if it's not cost-effective for them to be listed on sites like Expedia, they should explore social networks that could expose them to potential guests. For example, I have been working on a Social Network for Hispanics and Canadians, called Canadamigos, where the common interest is friendship and travel centered mostly on Canada. There is a group on the site for Adventure Tourism. This resort could become a member of the network (for a fee) and thus be exposed to Hispanic (and Canadian) travelers that might be looking for a place like theirs. Canadamigos is an example of a social network that fits into the concept of the long tail when it comes to sharing experiences, tips, recommendations, etc. It still has some way to go on the supplier side in order to complete the circle and make the site "tourism abundant" to use a term from Edu William's The Abundance in Tourism (Tips from the T-List) More on Canadamigos on future posts.
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Last July, Philip Caines, a fellow Tourism blogger, listed PhoCusWright's predictions about the Long Tail in his blog Tourism Tide:
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Prediction 1: The Long Tail era will drive a new economy.
Prediction 2: The Long Tail facilitators – content providers, software suppliers and ASPs – are in pivotal positions. Prediction
3: Technology and standards will evolve. Prediction
4: The democratization of supply will open up new marketing and packaging opportunities. Prediction
5: The success of the Long Tail in travel is directly proportional to the quality of search - making metasearch, geographically-oriented search and vertical search key enablers.The potential for tour operators and software developers to great greater access to the end consumer is growing every day, you can only imagine what types if niches will be catered to.
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In conclusion, this "long tail" concept, while not perfect, is influencing tourism marketers everywhere. The use of social media is becoming more important, but many businesses are not sure how they can take advantage of the phenomenon yet. My recommendation for the small tourism business out there is to explore ways in which they can insert themselves in the "online conversations" taking place, whether it be by blogging themselves, joining a relevant social network or advertise in either of these. Advertising and marketing are not going away. Rather marketers must look at how the marketing mix (price, product, promotion, place/distribution, people and profit) fits into all this.
saludos,
Jaime Horwitz


Visit Canadamigos Network



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Monday 28 January 2008

Canadian Tourism going to ITB in Berlin. I'm going to the PhocusWright Bloggers Summit.

"Willkommen! Bienvenue! Welcome! Fremder, Etranger, Stanger, Glcklich zu sehen, Je suis enchant, Happy to see you,"

ITB is the largest travel trade show in the world. It takes place in Berlin over five days, this year from Wednesday, March 5th to Friday March 9th. The first three days are open to trade only and the weekend is open to the trade and the public. It is a massive trade show occupying 26 halls at the Berlin. Canadian companies and DMO's will be present. According to the CTC's Corporate site Canada "will be well-represented at ITB again this year, with 50 exhibitors including a few new ones."


PhoCusWright, a leading market research and industry intelligence firm, will host the second PHOCUSWRIGHT BLOGGERS SUMMIT (March 5-6, 2008) as part of the PhoCusWright Conference at ITB. I am very much looking forward to attend as part of the T-List eTourism blogging community.

to be cont'd....

Jaime

Wednesday 23 January 2008

Quebec City 400th Anniversary - Urban Opera Cancelled but we're still going.

It's been confirmed by the Québec City 400th organization. The Urban Opera I was so much looking forward to seeing with my family next summer has been cancelled. I spoke to my wife and daughter and they just shrugged their shoulders. My dissappointment has subsided, having read what may be done to replace the Urban Opera. Having planned our summer already, we've concluded that it will still be worth it to visit Quebec City as planned. (see previous posting on this matter)
“With less than 6 months to go, the Urban Opera was facing major technical difficulties that put its feasibility in doubt”, announced general manager Daniel Gélinas. “This artistic project has been adapted accordingly to launch the "Québec plein la rue" series that will bring the biggest international street performance companies here for a North American premiere”...general manager Daniel Gélinas

The “Québec plein la rue" series will be produced by the Québec Summer Festival in collaboration with the Carnaval de Québec M. Christie and the Grands Feux Loto-Québec, and will be presented on July 3, 4 and 5, 2008 at Place de l’Assemblée-nationale...

The Québec Summer Festival launches its 2008 edition that same weekend, with a lineup of exclusive international performances from July 3-6 at all its venues in what promises to be an exciting program to mark the 400th anniversary celebrations." (press release)
Vive la Joie de Vivre!
Jaime

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Friday 18 January 2008

Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Quebec City, Ottawa, Yukon. Mexicans and Spaniards are coming. Americans? Still coming but not so much. November 07.

Hot off the presses. The latest Statcan International Travel: Advance Information for November 2007 is a total Fiesta en Español. Inbound tourism to Canada from Mexico was up an excellent 31.6% compared to November 2006. Inbound tourism to Canada from Spain was up a whopping 43.6%! Not bad at all for a slow month like November. It's looking good for December numbers when it comes to Spanish speaking visitors to Canada. South America, not counting Brazil (not a Spanish speaking country, although with many cultural similarities), was up a decent 14.1% Adding up all Spanish speaking tourists (as close as we can get to add them up, since we don't know how many US Hispanics visit Canada) based on the Statcan bulletin (i.e. including Spain, Mexico and South America) the total figure for Jan to November 2007 is 374,160 visitors - more than visitors from Germany or France in the same period. Since I'm an online entrepreneur, I see my main market as Spanish speaking no matter where they live. Traffic to my Spanish language sites comes from every country where Spanish is spoken. So I am very pleased with these numbers.


While the numbers are great when it comes to Spanish speaking visitors, this does not make up for the continuing decline from US visitors (just over 24 million to Nov '07). A 13% drop in Nov '07 from Nov '06 adds more concern to the issue. Much of the strength of our industry depends in good measure from US visitors and their current economic woes do not bode well for '08.
(International Travel Advance Information)

Let's see how the year ended. Numbers for December should come out in a month's time.

Olé
Jaime
(photo: me on the right with my friend Joaquin, a Spanish/Canadian from Andalucía, in Muskoka, Ontario last summer).

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Canadian Tourism : Missed Opportunities? What's Wrong? Are we shooting ourselves in the foot?



A note in today's Globe and Mail dissappoints me as a Canadian Tourism professional and infuriates me as a Canadian citizen and passionate domestic traveller. "Quebec City's 400th Anniversary - Birthday bash turning into a big-time bust," reads the headline on page A4. Apparently the tales of woe of the 400th Anniversary continue unabated. The head of the organizing committee was demoted after conflict of interest allegations surfaced recently.

The fantastic show on New Year's Eve/Day has been criticized for not provinding "adequate transportation, proper crowd control" and the lack of "promised giant screens for everyone to take the show." Well, leave it to the media to be critical. I was able to catch some of the show on television and from what I saw, I wished I had been there. Having said that though, I think the great opportunity for Canadian Tourism that the 400th Anniversary could have been - is not.

In my previous posting I touched on our regional and historical jealousies and grievances, which it seems to me have everything to do with the fact that the powers that be (be it the PM or Premier Charest or whoever) did not invite the Queen to the celebrations. This is unfortunate, although understandable. However, everyone agrees that the Queen's invitation would have given the celebrations (and most importantly Quebec City) worldwide publicity. I am not ignorant of 1759 and I understand political sensitivities regarding separatism, but "come on", if you have the chance to put your province in the world stage in a positive light... (Mexico was not only conquered by Spain, but its indigenous people were exploited and even tortured and murdered by the Spaniards and their Inquisition during the 16th and 17th centuries, but today Mexicans and Spaniards have one of the strongest and loving relationships in the world, and I am curious to find out if the King of Spain will be invited to Mexico's Bicentennial celebrations in 2010).

Now, according to the G&M article it's been reported that the Pope has declined an invitation to attend the International Eucharistic Congress in Quebec City - another blow to the year's events.

And for the icing on this bitter cake, what is supposed to be one of the major events of the celebrations, The Urban Opera, a spectacular arts extravaganza in Quebec City on July 4, 5 and 6 with more than 1,000 performers and multimedia shows, may be cancelled (the Globe's article indicated it may be cancelled today). This one, not only bothers me as a promoter of Canada (and make no mistake, my Canada includes Quebec), but also as a Canadian passionate about traveling in Canada. My family and I chose the July 4th weekend to celebrate Quebec City's 400th precisely because I convinced them that that weekend would be incredible because of the Urban Opera. If it's cancelled, we will have to revisit our plans and knowing my wife and daughter we may decide to cancel the vacation in Quebec altogether (naah, we'll still go, I'm just upset right now).

So what's next? Celine Dion cancels free concert in August?

Just when I was thinking of making Quebec's 400th the centerpiece of my Canada promotion to Hispanic markets in 2008! Je suis vraiment triste! O Canada, O Quebec!

Jaime
www.quebecenespanol.com

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Tuesday 8 January 2008

The year ahead: Boom, Bust or Echo? Challenges and Opportunities

As we begin 2008, I am wondering what you think the year ahead will bring. There are several challenging issues I am pondering but also some opportunities I am looking at.

The Dollar. According to many economists and media pundits the high Canadian dollar is here to stay for a while. How high? Nobody knows. But high enough to be of continuing concern to exporters and tourism businesses (particularly those that have traditionally generated much of their revenue from foreign visitors).


US Elections. The American public may be distracted (and so it should) from their day-to-day by the Presidential elections next November. Judging from the primaries, it is shaping to be an interesting event. I have no data to indicate whether travel patterns are affected by presidential (and congressional) elections in the US, but logic would dictate that they do as people may want to put off some plans until they know who will be President and how the markets respond.


US Economy. This one together with the high loonie is the biggest challenge. Already many observers are using the R word and the US employment numbers released this past week are fueling the fears (as is the $100 barrel of oil). The subprime mortgage disaster is not over (losses of over $80 billion) and the US' deficits are still massive. So all in all not a pretty picture. This of course will affect Americans' confidence to spend and travel with the consequent impact on Canadian tourism.


Ah but not all is rotten in the state of Denmark. There are opportunities for those competitive businesses and tourism entrepreneurs who can focus on particular segments of the world's traveling public.


Mexico. Mexican inbound tourism to Canada is still growing at double digits. The numbers to October 2007 (218,000 visitors) surpassed those for all of 2006 (213,000). The trick with Mexico in '08 (in my opinion) is to focus marketing efforts on the segment of Mexican consumers that are least likely to be affected by economic downturns, namely the affluent (the top 20% of the Mexican population). The reason for this is, again, the US economy on which Mexico's own economy depends so much. The high loonie is a bit of a concern but should not affect visitations substantially as long as the right marketing with the right positioning is used.


Spain. While in absolute numbers Spanish visitors are nowhere near the Mexicans, growth rates are also in the double digits. And, as opposed to Mexico, there's virtually no marketing of Canada in Spain (save for Quebec and some organizations like Jonvie/Transat). The Spanish economy, while slowing down, is still quite healthy, so I anticipate growth to continue.


CANADA. For 2008, the strongest opportunity lies at home. While the loonie will encourage Canadians to travel abroad (and we've already seen a spike in travel to the US), I think that if DMO's and tourism businesses come up with the right marketing mix (advertising and pricing mostly) more Canadians will travel at home. I have seen the promotional efforts from various provinces targeting us Torontonians and their efforts have yielded good results. I think this year they should increase their efforts. It is unfortunate that as Canadians we don't see enough of our country. I have been in this country for 18 years, consider myself somewhat of a professional tourist and I've only experienced but a fraction of what this country has to offer. I cannot tell you how many "mainstream" Canadians I have met who have been to many places in Europe, the US or elsewhere, but have barely travelled within their own province or the province next door. A recent federal government survey indicated that almost 80% of Canadians are not aware of Quebec City's 400th Anniversary and the celebrations that go with it!!!! Thist is to me incredible and unacceptable. Naturally, I am aware of Canada's long history of regionalism and provincial jealousies, but that has to stop. We have the privilege of living in "the most highly regarded country on the planet" as indicated by the 2007 Globescan survey conducted in 27 countries on behalf of the BBC and quoted by Michael Adams in his book Unlikely Utopia. How we fail to promote its wonders to ourselves is mind boggling. Let's celebrate our good fortune and encourage ourselves to travel domestically. For the record, this year my family and I have chosen Quebec as our summer Holiday destination. (I will combine work and pleasure, of course, as I will be covering the 400th Anniversary celebrations). We will be in Quebec City July 4, 5 and 6. Prior to our getting there, we'll stay a night in the Eastern Townships and following our visit to Quebec City we'll go to Tadoussac and Lac St Jean. And in august, we'll spend our customary week at a cottage closer to home in Muskoka, Ontario (one of my favourite vacation trips).
In conclusion, there are challenges, but there are also opportunities. As we try to stay afloat in this environment let's remember that we do have a great product to promote. All we have to do is show it to the people.

In the coming days, I plan to approach some very experienced and knowledgeable Canadian tourism professionals to ask them what their outlook for this year may be. So stay tuned.

Happy traveling,
Jaime


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